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U.S. spy agencies see no move by Iran to build a nuclear bomb

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Even as the United Nations’ nuclear watchdog said in a new report Friday that Iran had accelerated its uranium enrichment program, American intelligence analysts continue to believe that there is no hard evidence that Iran has decided to build a nuclear bomb.

Recent assessments by American spy agencies are broadly consistent with a 2007 intelligence finding that concluded that Iran had abandoned its nuclear weapons program years earlier, according to current and former American officials. The officials said that assessment was largely reaffirmed in a 2010 National Intelligence Estimate, and that it remains the consensus view of America’s 16 intelligence agencies.

…There is no dispute among American, Israeli and European intelligence officials that Iran has been enriching nuclear fuel and developing some necessary infrastructure to become a nuclear power. But the Central Intelligence Agency and other intelligence agencies believe that Iran has yet to decide whether to resume a parallel program to design a nuclear warhead — a program they believe was essentially halted in 2003 and which would be necessary for Iran to build a nuclear bomb. Iranian officials maintain that their nuclear program is for civilian purposes…

Not that fact has the slightest effect on the ideology of American chickenhawks.

Once Iran takes further steps to actually enrich weapons grade fuel — a feat that the United States does not believe Iran has yet accomplished — the critics believe that it would be relatively easy for Iran to engineer a warhead and then have a bomb in short order. They also criticize the C.I.A. for being overly cautious in its assessments of Iran, suggesting that it is perhaps overcompensating for its faulty intelligence assessments in 2002 about Iraq’s purported weapons programs, which turned out not to exist…Take an evening to watch “Fair Game” – the detailed truth of the Bush/Cheney manipulation of intel which contradicts the crap lies used to justify our invasion of Iraq. Lies which still obviously befoul American reporting about that war.

When an unclassified summary of the 2007 intelligence estimate on Iran’s nuclear program was made public, stating that it had abandoned work on a bomb, it stunned the Bush administration and the world. It represented a sharp reversal from the intelligence community’s 2005 estimate…which statement is simply a lie.

Iran’s efforts to hide its nuclear facilities and to deceive the West about its activities have also intensified doubts. But some American analysts warn that such behavior is not necessarily proof of a weapons program. They say that one mistake the C.I.A. made before the war in Iraq was to assume that because Saddam Hussein resisted weapons inspections — acting as if he were hiding something — it meant that he had a weapons program.

As Mr. Kay explained, “The amount of evidence that you were willing to go with in 2002 is not the same evidence you are willing to accept today.”

The NY TIMES works well at revisionist tasks. If you wander back through that newspaper’s archives you will find what we all recall – articles questioning the truth of the crap reports written at the command of Scooter Libby, Karl Rove and Dick Cheney. The intelligence agencies with boots on the ground all provided intel counter to the conclusions required by the White House cabal. Therefore the reports were edited to suit.

Part of American revisionism is to rewrite the history of that period to lay blame on the civil servants of intelligence instead of placing it squarely on the heads of the creeps and ideologues who manipulated the process of going to war. Because the TIMES defies corporate America sufficiently to print the reports as originally constructed – this time – also gives the TIMES an opportunity to provide cover for the lies that defined previous agitprop.

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Written by Ed Campbell

February 25, 2012 at 2:00 pm

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