Yes, Hillary, there really is a Hispanic voter surge

❝ Hispanic voters were largely credited with President Obama’s victory in 2012, but they weren’t as crucial as many believed. Mr. Obama didn’t even need to win the Hispanic vote to put him over the top, thanks to high black turnout and support among white voters in the North. The turnout among Hispanic voters didn’t surge, even though exit polls implied that it had.

This year, Hispanic voters, perhaps motivated by Donald J. Trump’s policy proposals (including deportation) and harsh language aimed at undocumented Hispanic immigrants, really might decide this election.

❝ Early voting data unequivocally indicates that Hillary Clinton will benefit from a long awaited surge in Hispanic turnout, vastly exceeding the Hispanic turnout from four years ago.

It’s too soon to say whether it will be decisive for her. The geographic distribution of Hispanic voters means that many of her gains will help her in noncompetitive states like Texas and California, not Michigan and Pennsylvania.

But the surge is real, and it’s big. It could be enough to overcome Mr. Trump’s strength among white-working class voters in the swing states of Florida and Nevada. If it does, it will almost certainly win her the election…

Lots of details for electoral politics wonks. When you live in a state where Hispanic ethnicity wavers forth-and-back over the 50% boundary you accept that issue-specific voting takes place. That’s fine. Here in northern New Mexico at least the memory of days when Democrats had the backbone for class warfare still counts at election time.

So does voter turnout. Not so unusual to see 50% turnout in primaries. At least Democrat primaries, here. Presidential elections often turn out 60-70% of registered voters. Better than average US numbers.

Trump nannies keeping him off Twitter — to Obama’s amusement

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Of all the loose cannons to roll across political Twitter’s decks, Donald Trump may have been the most volatile. The GOP nominee blasted his messages into the feeds of 13 million followers and accrued retweets by the thousands. For every hit scored against Jeb Bush (“low energy“), Ted Cruz (“Lyin’“) or Hillary Clinton (“Crooked“), though, there remained a risk Trump’s potshots would be self-destructive rather than tactical…

Now, during the final stretch of the presidential race, Trump’s campaign staff has taken control of his social media persona, the New York Times reported Sunday.

“Aides to Mr. Trump have finally wrested away the Twitter account that he used to colorfully — and often counterproductively — savage his rivals,” the Times wrote. According to the report into the Republican nominee’s last few days on the campaign trail:

Taking away Twitter turned out to be an essential move by his press team, which deprived him of a previously unfiltered channel for his aggressions.

Twitter has been especially useful – since an overwhelming number of Trump/Tea Party/Republican opponents can actually read and write.

FBI absolves Clinton, again — are we there, yet?

❝ The FBI’s decision to stick by its finding that Hillary Clinton didn’t commit a crime in her handling of e-mails as secretary of state again roiled the U.S. presidential race and markets, two days before the election…

❝ FBI Director James Comey informed Congress in a letter on Oct. 28 that the agency, which had ended its probe in July, was examining new e-mails potentially related to its investigation of Clinton’s use of a private e-mail server. Since then, “the FBI investigative team has been working around the clock to process and review” the material, Comey said in a second letter to members of Congress, dated Sunday. The letter was released by Representative Adam Schiff, a California Democrat.

“During that process, we reviewed all of the communications that were to or from Hillary Clinton while she was Secretary of State,” Comey wrote. “Based on our review, we have not changed our conclusions that we expressed in July with respect to Secretary Clinton.”…

Cripes, the FBI finally learned how to run search algorithms.

❝ Trump, campaigning in Minneapolis minutes after Comey’s announcement was reported, didn’t mention the FBI for the first time in five days. Later at a rally in Michigan he urged blah, blah, blah…

❝ U.S. stock futures jumped 1.3 percent at Sunday evening’s open as Clinton’s prospects brightened. Stocks were roiled by Comey’s October surprise, and by Friday the benchmark S&P 500 index had run its streak of daily losses to the longest since 1980…

The political comments are understandably positive from Democrats. Trumpkins and the traditional flavor of Republican sheep have returned to building a new layer of scapegoats to add to the already massive list they offer – demonstrating ignorance on any topic with real bearing on topics of social and economic importance.

Comey? He’s the kind of career politician who can’t be trusted. Like many. He let a cabal of populist nutballs turn the NY office of the FBI into Trumpland. He seriously ignored the essentials of the Hatch Act – designed for just the circumstances defining his PR work for Trump. He should be cut loose to get an honest job. Which I doubt he will, NSI.