BTW, don’t ignore the weather


Click to enlarge

Water temperatures in the Gulf of Mexico are running more than three degrees above average, increasing the prospects for severe thunderstorms and tornadoes this spring and potentially stronger hurricane activity in the summer and fall.

The last time Gulf of Mexico waters were similarly warm in 2017, it coincided with an above-average tornado season through the spring, and then Category 4 Hurricane Harvey struck the Texas Gulf Coast at the end of summer…

The annual barrage of tempestuous fury stems from the volatile clash of shifting seasons. As springtime warmth begins to build in the Gulf of Mexico, surges of mild air meander north — only to collide with stubbornly persistent cold shots of winter exiting the Rockies. It’s that collision that brews severe thunderstorms and tornadoes.

No matter how you slice it, this is going to be a tough year. Between nature and numbnuts politicians running our federal government, every disaster is likely to be exaggerated by incompetence and unprepared ideologues who believe that not spending money on the needs of citizens is heavenly ordained. Just like kissing corporate butt.

14 thoughts on “BTW, don’t ignore the weather

  1. Cassandra says:

    Sixteen named storms, including eight hurricanes, are forecast for the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season, according to early predictions released Thursday by experts at Colorado State University.
    Four of the hurricanes will become major storms of Category 3 to 5, with sustained winds of at least 111 mph, the projections indicate for the season that runs from June 1 to November 30. https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/02/weather/2020-atlantic-hurricane-season/index.html

    CSU: “Extended-Range Forecast of Atlantic Seasonal Hurricane Activity for 2020” https://tropical.colostate.edu/media/sites/111/2020/04/2020-04.pdf

  2. Spacebar says:

    “More than 5 million people are under tornado watches across the southeast — in many of the same places that suffered deadly storms last week.” https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/20/weather/severe-storms-in-south-return-monday/index.html Nearly 90,000 customers were without power Monday morning across Mississippi, Alabama and Georgia, according to PowerOutage.us. https://poweroutage.us/

    Meanwhile: US megadrought ‘already under way’ (BBC News) https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-52312260

  3. Carmen Gaia says:

    From South Texas to South Florida, all along the Gulf and Atlantic coasts, temperatures in the spring frequently have leaped ahead to summer-like levels. South Florida, in particular, has turned downright hot, obliterating long-standing records. https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2020/04/22/record-april-heat-miami-florida-gulf-coast/
    On Monday, Miami experienced its hottest April day recorded, soaring to 97 degrees.
    Meteorologists say the steamy weather is linked to abnormally warm temperatures in the adjacent waters of the Gulf of Mexico and Atlantic Ocean and a persistent high pressure zone heating the air.
    But both the extent and intensity of the warmth is unprecedented in many areas and would likely not be happening without the influence of human-induced climate change.

    (Click to enlarge)

  4. Carmen Gaia says:

    May 6, 2020: Polar vortex to unleash winterlike cold across eastern half of nation, with snow in the Northeast : Frost could occur as far south as Georgia as early May reverts to early March https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2020/05/06/polar-vortex-unleash-winterlike-cold-across-eastern-half-nation-with-snow-northeast/
    European model simulates the upcoming lobe of upper-level cold diving south across the eastern Lower 48 into the weekend (click to magnify).

  5. Cassandra says:

    How climate change Is contributing to skyrocketing rates of infectious disease https://www.propublica.org/article/climate-infectious-diseases
    “…There are three ways climate influences emerging diseases. Roughly 60% of new pathogens come from animals — including those pressured by diversity loss — and roughly one-third of those can be directly attributed to changes in human land use, meaning deforestation, the introduction of farming, development or resource extraction in otherwise natural settings. Vector-borne diseases — those carried by insects like mosquitoes and ticks and transferred in the blood of infected people — are also on the rise as warming weather and erratic precipitation vastly expand the geographic regions vulnerable to contagion. Climate is even bringing old viruses back from the dead, thawing zombie contagions like the anthrax released from a frozen reindeer in 2016, which can come down from the arctic and haunt us from the past.
    Thus the COVID-19 pandemic, even as it unfolds in the form of an urgent crisis, is offering a larger lesson. It is demonstrating in real time the enormous and undeniable power that nature has over civilization and even over its politics. That alone may make the pandemic prologue for more far-reaching and disruptive changes to come. But it also makes clear that climate policy today is indivisible from efforts to prevent new infectious outbreaks, or, as Bernstein* put it, the notion that climate and health and environmental policy might not be related is “a ​dangerous delusion.”
    * Aaron Bernstein, interim director for the C-Change Center for Climate, Health and the Global Environment at Harvard University’s T.H. Chan School of Public Health https://www.hsph.harvard.edu/c-change/team/aaron-bernstein/

  6. Butterfly effect says:

    “Millions of people in India and Bangladesh are in the path of a cyclone which is due to make landfall in less than 36 hours, bringing damaging winds and heavy rain to a region already struggling with the coronavirus pandemic.” https://www.cnn.com/2020/05/19/asia/super-cyclone-amphan-india-banglash-intl-hnk/index.html Super Cyclone Amphan became the strongest storm ever recorded in the Bay of Bengal on Monday night, after intensifying with sustained wind speeds of up to 270 kilometers per hour (165 miles per hours), according to data from the US Joint Typhoon Warning Center.
    Amphan has weakened slightly since, but the storm is still the equivalent of a Category 3 Atlantic hurricane, with winds speeds up to 185 kph (115 mph).
    The US Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) said up to 33.6 million people in India could potentially be exposed to the storm’s winds, while a maximum of 5.3 million could be exposed in Bangladesh. The PDC’s estimate is based on data from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center. https://www.pdc.org/wp-content/uploads/PDC_TC_Amphan_Wind_Impacts_ADV11_18MAY20_2100UTC.pdf

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