Climate crisis…Did you notice the hurricanes?


Orlando Sierra/AFP

Hurricane Mitch in 1998 was the most destructive storm to hit Central America. But hundreds of thousands of subsistence farmers across the region have lost everything in flooding caused by Eta, which made landfall in Nicaragua as a category 4 hurricane on 3 November. Now, with a second hurricane projected to make landfall on Monday near where Eta did, even more could find themselves in the same situation.

The evidence of the influence of the climate crisis is not so much in the record-breaking 30 tropical storms in the Atlantic so far this year, but the strength, rapid intensification and total rainfall of these weather systems.

Central America has been one of the regions most affected by the climate crisis to date, first with Hurricane Mitch, and in recent years with more extreme weather patterns, particularly in what’s known as the dry corridor, which extends from northern Costa Rica all the way to southern Mexico…

The Atlantic hurricane season is expected to last until December this year, meaning that Iota might not be the last.

Stay tuned, campers. There is nowhere near anything that can add up to a significant effort to deal with climate change. Which only means things will get a helluva lot worse before we can even think about it getting better.

6 thoughts on “Climate crisis…Did you notice the hurricanes?

  1. Tom Osceola says:

    “Hurricane Iota explosively intensifies to Category 5 as it bears down on Nicaragua
    The latest Category 5 ever observed in the Atlantic will be the second major hurricane to hit Central America in two weeks” (11/16/20) https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2020/11/16/iota-nicaragua-honduras-category-five/
    “Iota is the 30th named storm of the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season, marking a record. It’s the first time on record that the Atlantic has had two major hurricanes in November. It’s also the 10th named storm of the season to rapidly intensify, a feat that atmospheric scientists link to warmer sea surface temperatures from human-caused climate change.”

    “Iota, now a tropical depression, tears through Central America; hurricane center monitoring 2 other possible systems, 1 near Florida” (11/18/20) https://www.orlandosentinel.com/news/breaking-news/os-ne-hurricane-iota-wednesday-update-20201118-grcrcnxuq5cjjcu22etheusxma-story.html
    “If either system becomes develops into a tropical storm, the first to do so will be the 31st named storm of the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season and will receive the Greek letter Kappa.
    The hurricane season’s last official day is Nov. 30.”

  2. EinStein würfelt nicht! says:

    “New-found phenomenon that may improve hurricane forecasts : Improved forecasting is vital, especially in the age of COVID-19” https://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2020-12/nsu-npt120920.php [“Since sea spray is ‘fuel’ for hurricanes, the hurricane intensity can be altered.”]
    See: “Potential Effect of Bio-Surfactants on Sea Spray Generation in Tropical Cyclone Conditions” published by Nature Scientific Reports. https://rdcu.be/b9H8C

  3. Prognostication says:

    Forecasters are predicting another above-average Atlantic hurricane season in 2021, citing the likely absence of El Niño as a primary factor, according to new research from Colorado State University which has been forecasting hurricane activity for over 36 years. https://gcaptain.com/forecasters-predict-another-above-average-hurricane-season-in-2021/
    CSU: https://tropical.colostate.edu/2021/04/08/CSU-hurricane-seasonal-forecast.html

    NOAA Climate Prediction Center El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Diagnostic Discussion April 8, 2021. Synopsis: A transition from La Niña to ENSO-Neutral is likely in the next month or so, with an 80% chance of ENSO-neutral during May-July 2021. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml

  4. Once more says:

    “The first tropical system of the Atlantic hurricane season is forecast to make landfall in the U.S. by the end of the week, according to the National Hurricane Center, possibly bringing heavy rain and flooding from the Texas coast to the Florida Panhandle.” https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/17/tropical-storm-likely-to-hit-us-hurricane-season-gets-more-active-.html
    “If the weather disturbance strengthens into a tropical storm, it would be called Claudette, the third named storm of this year’s Atlantic hurricane season, which began this month and ends Nov. 30.” https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5
    “Hurricane season is becoming longer and more intense as climate change triggers more frequent and destructive storms. Global warming is also increasing the number of storms that move slowly and stall along the coast, a phenomenon that produces heavier rainfall and more dangerous storm surges.”

  5. James Temple says:

    To understand the future of hurricanes, look to the past : Researchers improve hurricane modeling by correcting for past sea surface temperatures (Harvard John A. Paulson School of Engineering and Applied Sciences) https://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2021-06/hjap-tut062921.php
    Improved simulation of 19th- and 20th-century North Atlantic hurricane frequency after correcting historical sea surface temperatures https://advances.sciencemag.org/content/7/26/eabg6931

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